Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.008445 0.009985 0.011848 0.014305 0.017520 0.021674 0.027602
2025-05-04 0.006430 0.008213 0.010626 0.014262 0.019852 0.028618 0.044620
2025-05-11 0.005356 0.007181 0.009837 0.014217 0.021799 0.035685 0.067321
2025-05-18 0.004567 0.006331 0.009034 0.013799 0.022835 0.041652 0.094255
2025-05-25 0.003934 0.005586 0.008211 0.013076 0.022977 0.045889 0.122957
2025-06-01 0.003486 0.005052 0.007621 0.012594 0.023394 0.051050 0.164136
2025-06-08 0.003252 0.004821 0.007492 0.012934 0.025712 0.062957 0.264588
2025-06-15 0.002988 0.004504 0.007156 0.012773 0.026792 0.072285 0.393609
2025-06-22 0.002697 0.004109 0.006621 0.012074 0.026244 0.075741 0.504938
2025-06-29 0.002539 0.003927 0.006457 0.012152 0.027868 0.089488 0.862154
2025-07-06 0.002439 0.003836 0.006452 0.012589 0.030770 0.113152 1.955654
2025-07-13 0.002366 0.003784 0.006515 0.013206 0.034613 0.149527 6.887159
2025-07-20 0.002259 0.003673 0.006475 0.013645 0.038517 0.200760 78.921174
2025-07-27 0.002122 0.003494 0.006268 0.013613 0.040793 0.250890 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002001 0.003331 0.006075 0.013572 0.043095 0.315730 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001869 0.003136 0.005784 0.013179 0.043627 0.366092 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001732 0.002920 0.005422 0.012500 0.042434 0.388405 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001623 0.002751 0.005150 0.012047 0.042210 0.433028 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001571 0.002693 0.005127 0.012366 0.046409 0.624768 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001496 0.002583 0.004969 0.012215 0.047905 0.783196 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001400 0.002422 0.004674 0.011557 0.045932 0.799099 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001351 0.002355 0.004600 0.011631 0.048772 1.111902 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001321 0.002327 0.004620 0.012042 0.054435 1.932057 NaN